predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Thomas Petersen
11-4 · Southpaw
vs
Guilherme Pat
6-1 · Orthodox
Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Thomas Petersen def.
M-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
81"
31
Age
32
3.10
SLpM
2.70
59%
Str. Acc.
61%
2.61
SApM
2.03
54%
Str. Def.
51%
3.01
TD Avg.
0.00
87%
TD Def.
100%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Thomas Petersen
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Guilherme Pat
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Thomas Petersen
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Thomas Petersen finishes 0% · finished 33% (6 fights)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (2-1)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
Guilherme Pat finishes 0% · finished 0% (2 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.