Terrance McKinney vs Kyle Nelson Prediction & Pick (UFC Fight Night) | Predicted Sports
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Pro
UFC Fight Night · Lightweight

Terrance McKinney vs Kyle Nelson

March 28, 2026 · Seattle, Washington, USA

Terrance McKinney headshot
Terrance McKinney
18-9 · Switch
vs
KN
Kyle Nelson
17-7-1 · Switch
Result
Terrance McKinney def. Kyle Nelson
KO/TKO · R1 0:24

Terrance McKinney vs Kyle Nelson tale of the tape

73"
Reach
71"
31
Age
35
6.83
SLpM
3.60
55%
Str. Acc.
45%
4.07
SApM
4.58
42%
Str. Def.
53%
3.27
TD Avg.
1.18
72%
TD Def.
66%
1.80
Sub. Avg.
0.50

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go

🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with Pro

Terrance McKinney and Kyle Nelson by the numbers

Terrance McKinney finishes 57% · finished 43% (14 fights)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (4-2)
Vs orthodox 64% (7-4)
As the rating favorite 63% (5-3)
Kyle Nelson finishes 13% · finished 38% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent 60% (3-2)
As the rating underdog 57% (4-3)
Vs orthodox 50% (2-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.

Terrance McKinney vs Kyle Nelson: your questions

Who won Terrance McKinney vs Kyle Nelson?
Terrance McKinney won by KO/TKO · R1 0:24 at UFC Fight Night.
When is Terrance McKinney vs Kyle Nelson and what weight class is it?
Terrance McKinney vs Kyle Nelson is a Lightweight bout at UFC Fight Night, March 28, 2026 in Seattle, Washington, USA.
How is Terrance McKinney vs Kyle Nelson likely to end?
The fight ended by KO/TKO · R1 0:24.