predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Michael Chiesa
20-7 · Southpaw
vs
Niko Price
16-11 (2 NC) · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Michael Chiesa def.
SUB · R1 1:03
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
76"
38
Age
36
2.02
SLpM
5.11
40%
Str. Acc.
43%
1.73
SApM
5.57
57%
Str. Def.
48%
3.11
TD Avg.
1.06
65%
TD Def.
50%
1.00
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Niko Price
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Niko Price
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Michael Chiesa
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Michael Chiesa finishes 38% · finished 25% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (4-0)
As the rating favorite 100% (3-0)
Giving up reach 80% (4-1)
Vs orthodox 63% (5-3)
Niko Price finishes 0% · finished 56% (9 fights)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
When younger than opponent 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 33% (2-4)
In the small (APEX) cage 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.