predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Warlley Alves
15-8 · Orthodox
vs
Mounir Lazzez
11-3 · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Warlley Alves def.
KO/TKO · R1 2:35
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
76"
35
Age
38
3.04
SLpM
7.49
48%
Str. Acc.
55%
3.95
SApM
5.42
50%
Str. Def.
53%
1.22
TD Avg.
1.80
62%
TD Def.
71%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Warlley Alves
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Mounir Lazzez
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Mounir Lazzez
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Warlley Alves finishes 20% · finished 40% (5 fights)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)
When younger than opponent 25% (1-3)
As the rating underdog 25% (1-3)
Giving up reach 20% (1-4)
Mounir Lazzez finishes 0% · finished 50% (4 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 50% (2-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (2-2)
When older than opponent 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.