predicted sports
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Michael Chiesa
20-7 · Southpaw
vs
Neil Magny
31-15 · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Michael Chiesa def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
80"
38
Age
38
2.02
SLpM
3.40
40%
Str. Acc.
46%
1.73
SApM
2.44
57%
Str. Def.
51%
3.11
TD Avg.
2.17
65%
TD Def.
55%
1.00
Sub. Avg.
0.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Michael Chiesa
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Neil Magny
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Michael Chiesa
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Michael Chiesa finishes 38% · finished 25% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (4-0)
As the rating favorite 100% (3-0)
Giving up reach 80% (4-1)
Vs orthodox 63% (5-3)
Neil Magny finishes 27% · finished 33% (15 fights)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 60% (6-4)
Vs orthodox 50% (5-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.