Diyar Nurgozhay vs Rafael Tobias Prediction & Pick (UFC 326) | Predicted Sports
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Pro
UFC 326 · Light Heavyweight

Diyar Nurgozhay vs Rafael Tobias

March 7, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

DN
Diyar Nurgozhay
12-2 · Southpaw
vs
RT
Rafael Tobias
14-3 · Orthodox
Result
Diyar Nurgozhay def. Rafael Tobias
U-DEC

Diyar Nurgozhay vs Rafael Tobias tale of the tape

74"
Reach
74"
29
Age
23
5.19
SLpM
2.17
61%
Str. Acc.
32%
2.81
SApM
5.95
59%
Str. Def.
37%
1.19
TD Avg.
2.00
72%
TD Def.
100%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
1.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go

🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with Pro

Diyar Nurgozhay and Rafael Tobias by the numbers

Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 25% · finished 50% (4 fights)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 50% (2-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
When younger than opponent 33% (1-2)
Rafael Tobias finishes 0% · finished 50% (2 fights)
When younger than opponent 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.

Diyar Nurgozhay vs Rafael Tobias: your questions

Who won Diyar Nurgozhay vs Rafael Tobias?
Diyar Nurgozhay won by U-DEC at UFC 326.
When is Diyar Nurgozhay vs Rafael Tobias and what weight class is it?
Diyar Nurgozhay vs Rafael Tobias is a Light Heavyweight bout at UFC 326, March 7, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.
How is Diyar Nurgozhay vs Rafael Tobias likely to end?
The fight ended by U-DEC.