predicted sports
← UFC 326
Diyar Nurgozhay
11-2 · Southpaw
vs
Rafael Tobias
14-2 · Orthodox
Light Heavyweight
Result
Diyar Nurgozhay def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
74"
29
Age
23
4.52
SLpM
2.77
59%
Str. Acc.
36%
2.81
SApM
5.81
61%
Str. Def.
35%
1.37
TD Avg.
2.40
80%
TD Def.
100%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
1.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Rafael Tobias
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Diyar Nurgozhay
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
By the Numbers
Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 0% · finished 67% (3 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)
When younger than opponent 0% (0-2)
Giving up reach 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.