predicted sports
← UFC 326
Sumudaerji
19-7 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Jesus Aguilar
12-4 · Orthodox
Flyweight
Result
Sumudaerji def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
62"
30
Age
30
4.40
SLpM
2.54
50%
Str. Acc.
38%
2.29
SApM
2.29
63%
Str. Def.
61%
0.76
TD Avg.
1.52
73%
TD Def.
45%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
1.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Jesus Aguilar
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Sumudaerji
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Sumudaerji
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
By the Numbers
Sumudaerji finishes 13% · finished 25% (8 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (3-0)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 67% (2-1)
With a reach advantage 63% (5-3)
Jesus Aguilar finishes 29% · finished 14% (7 fights)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 60% (3-2)
Giving up reach 57% (4-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.