predicted sports
← UFC 326
Drew Dober
29-15 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Michael Johnson
25-20 · Southpaw
Lightweight
Result
Drew Dober def.
KO/TKO · R2 1:53
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
73"
37
Age
40
4.48
SLpM
4.27
41%
Str. Acc.
39%
4.33
SApM
3.78
53%
Str. Def.
58%
0.61
TD Avg.
0.57
58%
TD Def.
81%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Drew Dober
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Michael Johnson
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Drew Dober
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Drew Dober finishes 50% · finished 33% (12 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
Michael Johnson finishes 22% · finished 22% (9 fights)
When older than opponent 67% (4-2)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (2-2)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.