predicted sports
← UFC 326
Charles Oliveira
37-11 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Max Holloway
27-9 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Charles Oliveira def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
69"
36
Age
34
3.23
SLpM
6.91
55%
Str. Acc.
48%
3.05
SApM
4.61
48%
Str. Def.
58%
2.29
TD Avg.
0.23
54%
TD Def.
81%
2.60
Sub. Avg.
0.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Max Holloway
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Charles Oliveira
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Charles Oliveira
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Charles Oliveira finishes 45% · finished 18% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (6-0)
As the rating favorite 86% (6-1)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
Vs orthodox 71% (5-2)
Max Holloway finishes 20% · finished 10% (10 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (4-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
When older than opponent 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 67% (6-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.