predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Sean Strickland
31-7 · Orthodox
vs
Anthony Hernandez
15-3 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Middleweight
Result
Sean Strickland def.
KO/TKO · R3 2:23
Tale of the Tape
76"
Reach
75"
35
Age
32
5.98
SLpM
4.57
42%
Str. Acc.
60%
4.53
SApM
3.10
60%
Str. Def.
51%
0.66
TD Avg.
5.88
68%
TD Def.
68%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
1.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Anthony Hernandez
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Sean Strickland
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Sean Strickland
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Sean Strickland finishes 20% · finished 7% (15 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (6-0)
Vs orthodox 90% (9-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 88% (7-1)
When younger than opponent 75% (6-2)
Anthony Hernandez finishes 67% · finished 11% (9 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (3-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (4-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (4-0)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.