predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Mario Bautista
17-3 · Switch
vs
Vinicius Oliveira
24-4 · Switch
Bantamweight · APEX cage
Result
Mario Bautista def.
SUB · R2 4:46
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
70"
32
Age
30
5.30
SLpM
5.44
48%
Str. Acc.
47%
3.98
SApM
2.86
54%
Str. Def.
58%
1.91
TD Avg.
1.27
55%
TD Def.
71%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Vinicius Oliveira
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Bantamweight
303 fights · edge Vinicius Oliveira
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Mario Bautista
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Mario Bautista finishes 36% · finished 9% (11 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (6-0)
As the rating favorite 86% (6-1)
When younger than opponent 83% (5-1)
Vinicius Oliveira finishes 33% · finished 17% (6 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
Vs orthodox 100% (5-0)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.