predicted sports
← UFC 325
Benoit Saint Denis
17-3 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Dan Hooker
24-14 · Switch
Lightweight
Result
Benoit Saint Denis def.
KO/TKO · R2 4:45
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
75"
30
Age
36
5.62
SLpM
4.82
58%
Str. Acc.
48%
4.09
SApM
4.94
42%
Str. Def.
49%
4.19
TD Avg.
0.68
72%
TD Def.
77%
1.80
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Benoit Saint Denis
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Dan Hooker
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Benoit Saint Denis
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Benoit Saint Denis finishes 75% · finished 17% (12 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 80% (4-1)
Dan Hooker finishes 10% · finished 50% (10 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (4-4)
Vs southpaws 50% (4-4)
As the rating underdog 40% (4-6)
With a reach advantage 33% (3-6)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.