predicted sports
← UFC 324
Nikita Krylov
31-11 · Orthodox
vs
Modestas Bukauskas
20-7 · Switch
Light Heavyweight
Result
Nikita Krylov def.
KO/TKO · R3 4:57
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
76"
34
Age
32
4.36
SLpM
3.14
54%
Str. Acc.
43%
2.59
SApM
3.86
47%
Str. Def.
50%
2.05
TD Avg.
0.23
53%
TD Def.
82%
1.20
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Modestas Bukauskas
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Nikita Krylov
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Nikita Krylov
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
By the Numbers
Nikita Krylov finishes 38% · finished 38% (8 fights)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 60% (3-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (3-3)
Modestas Bukauskas finishes 31% · finished 31% (13 fights)
When younger than opponent 78% (7-2)
As the rating underdog 75% (6-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 63% (5-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.