predicted sports
← UFC 324
Waldo Cortes Acosta
17-3 · Orthodox
vs
Derrick Lewis
29-14 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Heavyweight
Result
Waldo Cortes Acosta def.
KO/TKO · R2 3:14
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
79"
34
Age
41
5.34
SLpM
2.41
48%
Str. Acc.
48%
3.63
SApM
2.79
54%
Str. Def.
38%
0.40
TD Avg.
0.53
73%
TD Def.
51%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Waldo Cortes Acosta
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Derrick Lewis
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Waldo Cortes Acosta
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
By the Numbers
Waldo Cortes Acosta finishes 38% · finished 0% (13 fights)
As the rating favorite 89% (8-1)
Vs orthodox 83% (10-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 83% (5-1)
When younger than opponent 78% (7-2)
Derrick Lewis finishes 46% · finished 46% (13 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 67% (4-2)
In 5-round fights 63% (5-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.