Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett Prediction & Pick (UFC 324) | Predicted Sports
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UFC 324 · Lightweight · Title

Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett

January 24, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Justin Gaethje headshot
Justin Gaethje
28-5 · Orthodox
vs
Paddy Pimblett headshot
Paddy Pimblett
24-4 · Orthodox
Result
Justin Gaethje def. Paddy Pimblett
U-DEC

Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett tale of the tape

70"
Reach
73"
37
Age
31
6.29
SLpM
5.48
57%
Str. Acc.
52%
6.83
SApM
3.86
50%
Str. Def.
42%
0.30
TD Avg.
0.68
73%
TD Def.
46%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
1.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go

🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with Pro

Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett by the numbers

Justin Gaethje finishes 22% · finished 33% (9 fights)
Giving up reach 83% (5-1)
When older than opponent 71% (5-2)
As the rating underdog 67% (6-3)
In title fights 67% (2-1)
Paddy Pimblett finishes 67% · finished 0% (9 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (3-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (3-0)
As the rating favorite 86% (6-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.

Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett: your questions

Who won Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett?
Justin Gaethje won by U-DEC at UFC 324.
When is Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett and what weight class is it?
Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett is a Lightweight bout for the title at UFC 324, January 24, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.
How is Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett likely to end?
The fight ended by U-DEC.