predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
King Green
35-17-1 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Lance Gibson Jr.
10-2 · Switch
Catch Weight · APEX cage
Result
King Green def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
72"
39
Age
31
6.46
SLpM
2.40
53%
Str. Acc.
45%
3.55
SApM
4.24
62%
Str. Def.
56%
1.33
TD Avg.
1.67
72%
TD Def.
75%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win across the UFC
3,067 fights · edge Lance Gibson Jr.
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins across the UFC
2,686 fights · edge Lance Gibson Jr.
59%
the rating favorite wins across the UFC
2,745 fights · edge Lance Gibson Jr.
50%
of all UFC fights end inside the distance
3,068 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
King Green finishes 29% · finished 29% (17 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (4-0)
As the rating favorite 88% (7-1)
Giving up reach 67% (6-3)
Vs orthodox 57% (4-3)
Lance Gibson Jr. finishes 50% · finished 0% (2 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.