predicted sports
← UFC 323
Manuel Torres
17-4 · Switch
vs
Grant Dawson
24-3-1 · Switch
Lightweight
Result
Manuel Torres def.
KO/TKO · R1 2:25
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
72"
31
Age
32
6.57
SLpM
3.14
56%
Str. Acc.
51%
4.24
SApM
2.14
50%
Str. Def.
44%
1.32
TD Avg.
3.58
76%
TD Def.
66%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
1.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Manuel Torres
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Manuel Torres
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Grant Dawson
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Manuel Torres finishes 71% · finished 29% (7 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 83% (5-1)
With a reach advantage 80% (4-1)
Grant Dawson finishes 45% · finished 18% (11 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 89% (8-1)
Vs orthodox 89% (8-1)
With a reach advantage 83% (5-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.