UFC 323 · Light Heavyweight
Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov
December 6, 2025 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Jan Blachowicz
29-12-2 · Orthodox
vs
Bogdan Guskov
18-4-1 · Orthodox
🔒
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Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov tale of the tape
78"
Reach
76"
43
Age
33
3.53
SLpM
3.60
50%
Str. Acc.
56%
3.23
SApM
3.50
51%
Str. Def.
46%
0.97
TD Avg.
0.00
70%
TD Def.
54%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.70
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with ProJan Blachowicz and Bogdan Guskov by the numbers
Jan Blachowicz
finishes 29% · finished 29% (7 fights)
In 5-round fights
75%
(3-1)
In title fights
67%
(2-1)
When older than opponent
50%
(3-3)
As the rating underdog
50%
(3-3)
Bogdan Guskov
finishes 67% · finished 33% (6 fights)
Giving up reach
100%
(3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage
100%
(2-0)
As the rating favorite
75%
(3-1)
When younger than opponent
60%
(3-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.
Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov: your questions
- When is Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov and what weight class is it?
- Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov is a Light Heavyweight bout at UFC 323, December 6, 2025 in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.
- How is Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov likely to end?
- We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.