predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Asu Almabayev
24-3 · Orthodox
vs
Alex Perez
26-10 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Flyweight
Result
Asu Almabayev def.
SUB · R3 0:22
Tale of the Tape
65"
Reach
65"
32
Age
34
2.28
SLpM
4.22
51%
Str. Acc.
45%
1.94
SApM
3.24
53%
Str. Def.
58%
4.74
TD Avg.
2.07
44%
TD Def.
74%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
0.80

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Asu Almabayev
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Asu Almabayev
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
By the Numbers
Asu Almabayev finishes 38% · finished 13% (8 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 100% (6-0)
Vs orthodox 100% (4-0)
Giving up reach 86% (6-1)
Alex Perez finishes 29% · finished 57% (7 fights)
When younger than opponent 33% (1-2)
Giving up reach 33% (2-4)
In 5-round fights 33% (1-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.