predicted sports
← UFC 322
Kyle Daukaus
17-5 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Gerald Meerschaert
37-22 · Southpaw
Middleweight
Result
Kyle Daukaus def.
SUB · R1 0:50
Tale of the Tape
76"
Reach
77"
33
Age
38
3.16
SLpM
2.95
53%
Str. Acc.
45%
2.94
SApM
3.44
42%
Str. Def.
53%
1.97
TD Avg.
1.70
79%
TD Def.
40%
2.00
Sub. Avg.
1.50

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Kyle Daukaus
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Gerald Meerschaert
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Kyle Daukaus
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Kyle Daukaus finishes 33% · finished 33% (9 fights)
Giving up reach 67% (2-1)
When younger than opponent 50% (3-3)
As the rating favorite 50% (2-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (3-3)
Gerald Meerschaert finishes 40% · finished 33% (15 fights)
Vs orthodox 56% (5-4)
In the small (APEX) cage 56% (5-4)
As the rating favorite 50% (4-4)
With a reach advantage 46% (6-7)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.