predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Zach Reese
10-3 (1 NC) · Switch
vs
Jackson McVey
7-2 · Southpaw
Catch Weight · APEX cage
Result
Zach Reese def.
SUB · R2 1:38
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
77"
32
Age
27
4.48
SLpM
6.51
54%
Str. Acc.
69%
3.92
SApM
3.37
43%
Str. Def.
23%
2.80
TD Avg.
0.00
52%
TD Def.
0%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
1.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win across the UFC
3,067 fights · edge Jackson McVey
59%
the rating favorite wins across the UFC
2,745 fights · edge Zach Reese
50%
of all UFC fights end inside the distance
3,068 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Zach Reese finishes 29% · finished 29% (7 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
As the rating favorite 60% (3-2)
When older than opponent 50% (2-2)
Jackson McVey finishes 33% · finished 67% (3 fights)
Vs orthodox 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
When younger than opponent 33% (1-2)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.