predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Talita Alencar
8-1-1 · Orthodox
vs
Ariane Carnelossi
15-5 · Orthodox
Women's Strawweight · APEX cage
Result
Talita Alencar def.
SUB · R3 4:36
Tale of the Tape
58"
Reach
61"
35
Age
33
3.09
SLpM
2.68
36%
Str. Acc.
38%
3.67
SApM
4.69
51%
Str. Def.
43%
3.01
TD Avg.
1.06
66%
TD Def.
22%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Women's Strawweight
202 fights · edge Ariane Carnelossi
41%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Strawweight
177 fights · edge Ariane Carnelossi
54%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Strawweight
181 fights · edge Talita Alencar
36%
of Women's Strawweight fights end inside the distance
202 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Talita Alencar finishes 20% · finished 0% (5 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 80% (4-1)
Giving up reach 80% (4-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 80% (4-1)
Ariane Carnelossi finishes 33% · finished 33% (6 fights)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 50% (3-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.