Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista Prediction & Pick (UFC 321) | Predicted Sports
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UFC 321 · Bantamweight

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista

October 25, 2025 · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Umar Nurmagomedov headshot
Umar Nurmagomedov
20-1 · Orthodox
vs
Mario Bautista headshot
Mario Bautista
18-3 · Switch
Result
Umar Nurmagomedov def. Mario Bautista
U-DEC

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista tale of the tape

69"
Reach
69"
30
Age
33
3.86
SLpM
5.52
56%
Str. Acc.
50%
1.86
SApM
4.17
61%
Str. Def.
54%
4.03
TD Avg.
2.49
79%
TD Def.
57%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
1.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go

🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with Pro

Umar Nurmagomedov and Mario Bautista by the numbers

Umar Nurmagomedov finishes 33% · finished 0% (9 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 88% (7-1)
Mario Bautista finishes 33% · finished 8% (12 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (6-0)
As the rating favorite 88% (7-1)
When younger than opponent 86% (6-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista: your questions

Who won Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista?
Umar Nurmagomedov won by U-DEC at UFC 321.
When is Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista and what weight class is it?
Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista is a Bantamweight bout at UFC 321, October 25, 2025 in Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
How is Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista likely to end?
The fight ended by U-DEC.