predicted sports
← UFC 321
Mackenzie Dern
16-5 · Orthodox
vs
Virna Jandiroba
23-4 · Orthodox
Women's Strawweight · Title
Result
Mackenzie Dern def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
63"
Reach
64"
33
Age
38
3.47
SLpM
2.27
41%
Str. Acc.
41%
3.93
SApM
2.86
51%
Str. Def.
55%
0.93
TD Avg.
3.13
37%
TD Def.
72%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
1.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Women's Strawweight
202 fights · edge Mackenzie Dern
41%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Strawweight
177 fights · edge Virna Jandiroba
54%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Strawweight
181 fights · edge Virna Jandiroba
36%
of Women's Strawweight fights end inside the distance
202 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Mackenzie Dern finishes 25% · finished 8% (12 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
Vs orthodox 73% (8-3)
Giving up reach 71% (5-2)
Virna Jandiroba finishes 27% · finished 0% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (4-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (4-0)
As the rating favorite 75% (6-2)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.