← UFC 321
Heavyweight · Title
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
81"
33
Age
36
7.63
SLpM
5.40
67%
Str. Acc.
61%
3.62
SApM
2.31
56%
Str. Def.
60%
2.62
TD Avg.
0.66
100%
TD Def.
47%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
0.60
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Tom Aspinall
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Ciryl Gane
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Tom Aspinall
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Tom Aspinall
finishes 89% · finished 11% (9 fights)
As the rating underdog
100%
(3-0)
In title fights
100%
(2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage
100%
(2-0)
When younger than opponent
88%
(7-1)
Ciryl Gane
finishes 50% · finished 10% (10 fights)
When older than opponent
100%
(2-0)
As the rating underdog
100%
(6-0)
With a reach advantage
100%
(8-0)
In the small (APEX) cage
100%
(2-0)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.