predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Marcin Tybura
27-11 · Orthodox
vs
Greg Hardy
7-5 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Marcin Tybura def.
KO/TKO · R2 4:31
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
80"
40
Age
37
3.56
SLpM
4.79
48%
Str. Acc.
50%
3.26
SApM
3.31
55%
Str. Def.
55%
1.30
TD Avg.
0.20
70%
TD Def.
64%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Greg Hardy
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Greg Hardy
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Marcin Tybura
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Marcin Tybura finishes 29% · finished 21% (14 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (5-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (4-0)
With a reach advantage 80% (4-1)
Greg Hardy finishes 25% · finished 75% (4 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.