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Lightweight
Result
Kyle Nelson def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
71"
35
Age
36
3.60
SLpM
3.30
45%
Str. Acc.
39%
4.58
SApM
3.76
53%
Str. Def.
56%
1.18
TD Avg.
2.34
66%
TD Def.
40%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.80
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Kyle Nelson
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Matt Frevola
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Kyle Nelson
finishes 13% · finished 38% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent
60%
(3-2)
As the rating underdog
57%
(4-3)
Vs orthodox
50%
(2-2)
With a reach advantage
50%
(1-1)
Matt Frevola
finishes 38% · finished 38% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent
100%
(2-0)
As the rating underdog
60%
(3-2)
Vs southpaws
50%
(1-1)
Vs orthodox
33%
(1-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.