predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Jafel Filho
17-5 · Orthodox
vs
Clayton Carpenter
8-3 · Orthodox
Flyweight
Result
Jafel Filho def.
SUB · R1 4:42
Tale of the Tape
68"
Reach
66"
33
Age
30
1.78
SLpM
3.88
40%
Str. Acc.
50%
1.76
SApM
4.47
50%
Str. Def.
49%
2.40
TD Avg.
1.75
50%
TD Def.
50%
1.80
Sub. Avg.
1.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Clayton Carpenter
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Jafel Filho
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Jafel Filho
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
By the Numbers
Jafel Filho finishes 50% · finished 17% (6 fights)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
With a reach advantage 67% (2-1)
When younger than opponent 50% (2-2)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)
Clayton Carpenter finishes 40% · finished 20% (5 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.