predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Michael Aswell Jr.
11-5 · Orthodox
vs
Lucas Almeida
15-5 · Orthodox
Featherweight
Result
Michael Aswell Jr. def.
KO/TKO · R1 1:42
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
71"
25
Age
35
7.60
SLpM
4.94
42%
Str. Acc.
39%
7.03
SApM
5.36
52%
Str. Def.
44%
0.24
TD Avg.
0.00
55%
TD Def.
53%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Michael Aswell Jr.
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Lucas Almeida
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Michael Aswell Jr.
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
By the Numbers
Michael Aswell Jr. finishes 25% · finished 0% (4 fights)
Giving up reach 50% (1-1)
As the rating favorite 33% (1-2)
When younger than opponent 25% (1-3)
Vs orthodox 25% (1-3)
Lucas Almeida finishes 17% · finished 50% (6 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (2-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (2-2)
Vs orthodox 40% (2-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.