predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Stephen Thompson
17-9-1 · Orthodox
vs
Geoff Neal
16-8 · Southpaw
Welterweight · APEX cage
Result
Stephen Thompson def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
75"
43
Age
35
4.05
SLpM
5.02
46%
Str. Acc.
50%
3.00
SApM
5.50
54%
Str. Def.
57%
0.23
TD Avg.
0.54
63%
TD Def.
87%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Geoff Neal
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Geoff Neal
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Stephen Thompson finishes 14% · finished 29% (7 fights)
In 5-round fights 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 33% (2-4)
Geoff Neal finishes 22% · finished 33% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (2-2)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 50% (2-2)
As the rating underdog 33% (3-6)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.