predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Tom Nolan
11-1 · Southpaw
vs
Charlie Campbell
9-3 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Tom Nolan def.
SUB · R1 4:08
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
72"
26
Age
30
4.84
SLpM
5.23
45%
Str. Acc.
51%
3.74
SApM
4.17
48%
Str. Def.
55%
1.08
TD Avg.
2.45
58%
TD Def.
62%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Tom Nolan
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Tom Nolan
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Tom Nolan
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Tom Nolan finishes 33% · finished 17% (6 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 83% (5-1)
Vs orthodox 83% (5-1)
With a reach advantage 75% (3-1)
Charlie Campbell finishes 33% · finished 33% (3 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Giving up reach 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.