predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Alexander Hernandez
18-9 · Orthodox
vs
Diego Ferreira
19-7 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Alexander Hernandez def.
KO/TKO · R2 3:46
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
74"
33
Age
41
4.23
SLpM
4.70
40%
Str. Acc.
39%
4.45
SApM
3.46
59%
Str. Def.
55%
1.05
TD Avg.
0.82
68%
TD Def.
57%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Alexander Hernandez
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Diego Ferreira
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Alexander Hernandez
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Alexander Hernandez finishes 31% · finished 15% (13 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 67% (2-1)
When younger than opponent 60% (6-4)
As the rating underdog 57% (4-3)
Diego Ferreira finishes 29% · finished 43% (7 fights)
Vs southpaws 50% (2-2)
When older than opponent 29% (2-5)
As the rating underdog 29% (2-5)
With a reach advantage 29% (2-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.