predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Sam Patterson
14-3-1 · Orthodox
vs
Trey Waters
9-2 · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Sam Patterson def.
KO/TKO · R1 3:01
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
77"
30
Age
31
2.62
SLpM
6.39
37%
Str. Acc.
44%
3.06
SApM
5.83
50%
Str. Def.
55%
0.82
TD Avg.
0.40
33%
TD Def.
85%
1.60
Sub. Avg.
0.80

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Sam Patterson
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Sam Patterson
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Sam Patterson
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Sam Patterson finishes 67% · finished 17% (6 fights)
With a reach advantage 75% (3-1)
When younger than opponent 67% (4-2)
Vs orthodox 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
Trey Waters finishes 0% · finished 33% (3 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.