predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Benoit Saint Denis
17-3 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Mauricio Ruffy
14-2 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Benoit Saint Denis def.
SUB · R2 2:56
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
75"
30
Age
30
5.62
SLpM
4.19
58%
Str. Acc.
57%
4.09
SApM
3.83
42%
Str. Def.
59%
4.19
TD Avg.
0.00
72%
TD Def.
86%
1.80
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Mauricio Ruffy
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Mauricio Ruffy
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Benoit Saint Denis
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Benoit Saint Denis finishes 75% · finished 17% (12 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 80% (4-1)
Mauricio Ruffy finishes 67% · finished 17% (6 fights)
Vs orthodox 100% (4-0)
With a reach advantage 83% (5-1)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.