predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Aljamain Sterling
26-5 · Orthodox
vs
Brian Ortega
16-5 (1 NC) · Switch
Catch Weight
Result
Aljamain Sterling def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
69"
36
Age
35
4.26
SLpM
3.84
52%
Str. Acc.
37%
2.15
SApM
6.38
59%
Str. Def.
49%
2.54
TD Avg.
0.93
44%
TD Def.
54%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.90

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win across the UFC
3,067 fights · edge Brian Ortega
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins across the UFC
2,686 fights · edge Aljamain Sterling
59%
the rating favorite wins across the UFC
2,745 fights · edge Aljamain Sterling
50%
of all UFC fights end inside the distance
3,068 fights
By the Numbers
Aljamain Sterling finishes 11% · finished 11% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (5-0)
In 5-round fights 83% (5-1)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
Brian Ortega finishes 17% · finished 17% (6 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
When younger than opponent 33% (1-2)
When older than opponent 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 33% (2-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.