predicted sports
← UFC 319
Alexander Hernandez
18-9 · Orthodox
vs
Chase Hooper
16-5-1 · Southpaw
Lightweight
Result
Alexander Hernandez def.
KO/TKO · R1 4:58
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
74"
33
Age
26
4.23
SLpM
4.50
40%
Str. Acc.
49%
4.45
SApM
3.02
59%
Str. Def.
39%
1.05
TD Avg.
2.43
68%
TD Def.
55%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
2.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Chase Hooper
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Chase Hooper
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Alexander Hernandez
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Alexander Hernandez finishes 31% · finished 15% (13 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 67% (2-1)
When younger than opponent 60% (6-4)
As the rating underdog 57% (4-3)
Chase Hooper finishes 45% · finished 27% (11 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
With a reach advantage 70% (7-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.