predicted sports
← UFC 319
Tim Elliott
22-14-1 · Southpaw
vs
Kai Asakura
22-6 · Orthodox
Flyweight
Result
Tim Elliott def.
SUB · R2 4:39
Tale of the Tape
66"
Reach
69"
39
Age
32
3.51
SLpM
2.53
43%
Str. Acc.
34%
3.00
SApM
3.34
56%
Str. Def.
52%
3.61
TD Avg.
0.00
59%
TD Def.
50%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Kai Asakura
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Kai Asakura
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Kai Asakura
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
By the Numbers
Tim Elliott finishes 22% · finished 11% (9 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 75% (3-1)
Giving up reach 75% (6-2)
When older than opponent 67% (6-3)
Kai Asakura finishes 33% · finished 67% (3 fights)
Vs orthodox 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
When younger than opponent 0% (0-2)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.