predicted sports
← UFC 319
Khamzat Chimaev
15-1 · Orthodox
vs
Dricus Du Plessis
23-3 · Switch
Middleweight · Title
Result
Khamzat Chimaev def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
76"
32
Age
32
4.01
SLpM
5.18
54%
Str. Acc.
48%
2.98
SApM
4.33
52%
Str. Def.
52%
5.32
TD Avg.
2.22
87%
TD Def.
34%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
0.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Khamzat Chimaev
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Dricus Du Plessis
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Khamzat Chimaev
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Khamzat Chimaev finishes 60% · finished 0% (10 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 89% (8-1)
Dricus Du Plessis finishes 60% · finished 0% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (9-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.