predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Anthony Hernandez
15-3 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Roman Dolidze
15-5 · Orthodox
Middleweight · APEX cage
Result
Anthony Hernandez def.
SUB · R4 2:45
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
76"
32
Age
37
4.57
SLpM
3.19
60%
Str. Acc.
41%
3.10
SApM
3.71
51%
Str. Def.
48%
5.88
TD Avg.
1.16
68%
TD Def.
32%
1.60
Sub. Avg.
0.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Anthony Hernandez
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Roman Dolidze
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Anthony Hernandez
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Anthony Hernandez finishes 67% · finished 11% (9 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (3-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (4-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (4-0)
Roman Dolidze finishes 36% · finished 7% (14 fights)
As the rating underdog 80% (4-1)
Giving up reach 80% (4-1)
Vs orthodox 70% (7-3)
Vs southpaws 67% (2-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.