predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Esteban Ribovics
15-3 · Orthodox
vs
Elves Brener
16-6 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Esteban Ribovics def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
72"
30
Age
28
7.27
SLpM
4.76
43%
Str. Acc.
47%
5.83
SApM
5.86
54%
Str. Def.
50%
0.35
TD Avg.
0.99
66%
TD Def.
76%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Elves Brener
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Elves Brener
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Esteban Ribovics
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Esteban Ribovics finishes 14% · finished 14% (7 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 67% (4-2)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Elves Brener finishes 33% · finished 17% (6 fights)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
When younger than opponent 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (3-3)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.