predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Asu Almabayev
24-3 · Orthodox
vs
Jose Ochoa
9-2 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Flyweight
Result
Asu Almabayev def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
65"
Reach
67"
32
Age
25
2.28
SLpM
5.16
51%
Str. Acc.
47%
1.94
SApM
2.99
53%
Str. Def.
58%
4.74
TD Avg.
0.30
44%
TD Def.
65%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
0.90

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Jose Ochoa
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Jose Ochoa
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Asu Almabayev
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
By the Numbers
Asu Almabayev finishes 38% · finished 13% (8 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 100% (6-0)
Vs orthodox 100% (4-0)
Giving up reach 86% (6-1)
Jose Ochoa finishes 25% · finished 0% (4 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (2-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.