predicted sports
← UFC 318
Daniel Rodriguez
20-5 · Southpaw
vs
Kevin Holland
29-15 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Daniel Rodriguez def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
81"
39
Age
33
7.20
SLpM
4.24
49%
Str. Acc.
49%
5.40
SApM
3.21
57%
Str. Def.
50%
0.51
TD Avg.
0.79
64%
TD Def.
57%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Kevin Holland
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Kevin Holland
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Daniel Rodriguez
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Daniel Rodriguez finishes 25% · finished 17% (12 fights)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
With a reach advantage 83% (5-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 83% (5-1)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
Kevin Holland finishes 41% · finished 18% (22 fights)
Vs orthodox 64% (7-4)
When younger than opponent 59% (10-7)
As the rating underdog 58% (7-5)
With a reach advantage 55% (12-10)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.