predicted sports
← UFC 318
Paulo Costa
16-4 · Orthodox
vs
Roman Kopylov
15-5 · Southpaw
Middleweight
Result
Paulo Costa def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
75"
35
Age
34
6.15
SLpM
4.54
59%
Str. Acc.
50%
5.96
SApM
5.08
49%
Str. Def.
53%
0.30
TD Avg.
1.12
77%
TD Def.
88%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Roman Kopylov
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Roman Kopylov
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Paulo Costa
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Paulo Costa finishes 14% · finished 14% (7 fights)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 43% (3-4)
When younger than opponent 40% (2-3)
Roman Kopylov finishes 45% · finished 9% (11 fights)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
As the rating favorite 83% (5-1)
When older than opponent 80% (4-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.