predicted sports
← UFC 318
Max Holloway
27-9 · Orthodox
vs
Dustin Poirier
30-10 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Lightweight
Result
Max Holloway def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
72"
34
Age
37
6.91
SLpM
5.24
48%
Str. Acc.
50%
4.61
SApM
4.57
58%
Str. Def.
52%
0.23
TD Avg.
1.15
81%
TD Def.
64%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
1.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Max Holloway
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Dustin Poirier
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Max Holloway
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Max Holloway finishes 20% · finished 10% (10 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (4-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
When older than opponent 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 67% (6-3)
Dustin Poirier finishes 44% · finished 33% (9 fights)
Giving up reach 80% (4-1)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.