predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Jake Matthews
23-8 · Orthodox
vs
Chidi Njokuani
25-12 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Jake Matthews def.
SUB · R1 1:09
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
80"
31
Age
37
3.36
SLpM
5.16
44%
Str. Acc.
61%
2.58
SApM
3.32
60%
Str. Def.
57%
1.36
TD Avg.
0.00
66%
TD Def.
75%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Jake Matthews
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Chidi Njokuani
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Jake Matthews
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Jake Matthews finishes 27% · finished 18% (11 fights)
With a reach advantage 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 71% (5-2)
When older than opponent 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 67% (6-3)
Chidi Njokuani finishes 30% · finished 30% (10 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 80% (4-1)
Vs orthodox 56% (5-4)
As the rating favorite 50% (3-3)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.