predicted sports
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Ilia Topuria
17-1 · Orthodox
vs
Damon Jackson
23-8-1 (1 NC) · Switch
Featherweight · APEX cage
Result
Ilia Topuria def.
KO/TKO · R1 2:38
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
71"
29
Age
37
4.82
SLpM
2.96
50%
Str. Acc.
42%
3.97
SApM
3.47
62%
Str. Def.
49%
1.73
TD Avg.
2.30
95%
TD Def.
37%
0.90
Sub. Avg.
1.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Ilia Topuria
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Damon Jackson
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Ilia Topuria
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Ilia Topuria finishes 70% · finished 10% (10 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 90% (9-1)
As the rating favorite 89% (8-1)
Giving up reach 89% (8-1)
Damon Jackson finishes 27% · finished 27% (11 fights)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (6-3)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
With a reach advantage 57% (4-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.