predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Gabriel Bonfim
20-1 · Orthodox
vs
Stephen Thompson
17-9-1 · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Gabriel Bonfim def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
75"
28
Age
43
4.76
SLpM
4.05
47%
Str. Acc.
46%
3.61
SApM
3.00
64%
Str. Def.
54%
2.57
TD Avg.
0.23
78%
TD Def.
63%
1.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Gabriel Bonfim
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Stephen Thompson
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Gabriel Bonfim
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Gabriel Bonfim finishes 50% · finished 13% (8 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
In 5-round fights 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 88% (7-1)
Stephen Thompson finishes 14% · finished 29% (7 fights)
In 5-round fights 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 33% (2-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.