predicted sports
← UFC 317
Gregory Rodrigues
19-6 · Orthodox
vs
Jack Hermansson
24-10 · Orthodox
Middleweight
Result
Gregory Rodrigues def.
KO/TKO · R1 4:21
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
77"
34
Age
38
5.53
SLpM
5.15
51%
Str. Acc.
45%
4.78
SApM
3.72
50%
Str. Def.
56%
1.90
TD Avg.
1.48
75%
TD Def.
80%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Gregory Rodrigues
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Jack Hermansson
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Gregory Rodrigues
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Gregory Rodrigues finishes 54% · finished 15% (13 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (4-0)
When older than opponent 80% (4-1)
Vs orthodox 80% (8-2)
Giving up reach 80% (4-1)
Jack Hermansson finishes 11% · finished 33% (9 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (3-3)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (2-2)
With a reach advantage 44% (4-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.