predicted sports
← UFC 317
Alexandre Pantoja
30-6 · Orthodox
vs
Kai Kara-France
25-12 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Flyweight · Title
Result
Alexandre Pantoja def.
SUB · R3 1:55
Tale of the Tape
67"
Reach
69"
36
Age
33
4.38
SLpM
4.46
50%
Str. Acc.
40%
3.88
SApM
3.24
49%
Str. Def.
64%
2.79
TD Avg.
0.56
69%
TD Def.
83%
1.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Kai Kara-France
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Kai Kara-France
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Alexandre Pantoja
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Alexandre Pantoja finishes 40% · finished 10% (10 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (3-0)
Giving up reach 100% (7-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 83% (5-1)
Kai Kara-France finishes 38% · finished 38% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
When younger than opponent 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 57% (4-3)
With a reach advantage 57% (4-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.