predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Gabriel Benitez
23-13 · Southpaw
vs
Justin Jaynes
16-8 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Gabriel Benitez def.
KO/TKO · R1 4:06
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
68"
38
Age
36
5.26
SLpM
3.34
41%
Str. Acc.
44%
4.49
SApM
5.33
63%
Str. Def.
62%
0.22
TD Avg.
0.75
55%
TD Def.
20%
0.90
Sub. Avg.
1.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Justin Jaynes
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Gabriel Benitez
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Gabriel Benitez
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Gabriel Benitez finishes 33% · finished 50% (6 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)
Giving up reach 50% (1-1)
When older than opponent 40% (2-3)
Justin Jaynes finishes 0% · finished 75% (4 fights)
When younger than opponent 0% (0-3)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-4)
Vs southpaws 0% (0-2)
Giving up reach 0% (0-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.